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Chapter I Introduction
(276kb) |
1 |
|
A |
Background |
1 |
| B |
Synthetic Fuel As A Major U.S. Energy Option |
1 |
| C |
Benefits in Accelerating Synthetic Fuels |
2 |
| D |
Possible Costs in Accelerating Synthetic Fuels
Commercialization |
3 |
| E |
Other Factors Considered in Evaluation Program
Alternatives |
4 |
| F |
Objectives and Scope of Synfuels Program Development
Effort |
4 |
| G |
Organization of the Overview Report |
6 |
| |
| Chapter II
Present Outlook and Current Choices (222kb) |
9 |
| A |
U.S. Energy Alternatives |
9 |
| B |
Free-market Solutions |
10 |
| |
1 |
Unlimited Imports |
10 |
|
2 |
Restricted Imports |
11 |
| C |
Government Intervention Solutions |
12 |
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|
Chapter III Long Range (1975-2000) U. S.
Energy Outlook and the Role for Synthetic Fuels (425kb) |
15 |
| A |
Introduction |
15 |
| B |
Methodological and Other Assumptions |
15 |
| C |
The Nominal Long-Rage Forecast |
19 |
| D |
Sensitivity Analysis |
23 |
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1 |
Demand |
23 |
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2 |
Domestic Oil and Gas Supply |
25 |
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3 |
Import Prices |
26 |
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4 |
Synthetic Fuels Costs |
26 |
| E |
General Conclusions |
27 |
| |
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Chapter IV Outlook for Early
Commercialization of Synthetic Fuels (335kb) |
29 |
| A |
Past Experience |
29 |
| B |
Recent Private Commercialization
Experience |
29 |
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1 |
Canadian Tar Sands Experience |
29 |
|
2 |
Colony Oil Shale Project |
30 |
|
3 |
High Btu Gas from Coal |
31 |
| C |
Current Cost Estimates of Producing
Synthetic Fuels |
32 |
| D |
Current Industry Plans and Major
Constraints |
34 |
| E |
Assessment of Outlook for Private
Synthetic Fuels Commercialization |
37 |
| |
|
Chapter V Cost and Benefits of Alternative
Programs (631kb) |
39 |
| A |
Introduction |
39 |
| B |
Summary of Findings |
43 |
| C |
Sensitivity Analysis |
45 |
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|
Chapter VI Summary of Environmental
Impacts (309kb) |
61 |
| A |
Land Uses and Socioeconomic Values |
61 |
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1 |
Land Use |
61 |
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2 |
Socioeconomic Values |
62 |
| B |
Environmental |
63 |
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1 |
Non-Living Components |
63 |
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2 |
Living Components |
66 |
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3 |
Human Interest Values |
67 |
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Chapter VII Recommended Incentives and
Estimated Program Costs (1.44MB) |
69 |
| A |
Introduction |
69 |
| B |
Program-Level Options |
69 |
| |
1 |
Single Phase Information Option (350,000 bbl/day) |
69 |
|
2 |
Two Phase Nominal Option (1,000,000 bbl/day) |
71 |
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3 |
Maximum Production Option (1,700,00 bbl/day) |
72 |
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4 |
Technology Mixes and Scheduled Build-Up |
72 |
| C |
Recommended Incentives |
73 |
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1 |
Recommended Incentive for Shale Oil and Syncrude |
73 |
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2 |
Recommended Incentive for High Btu Gas from Coal |
75 |
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3 |
Recommended Incentive for Utility/Industrial Fuels
(Regulated Case) |
76 |
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4 |
Recommended Incentive for Utility/Industrial Fuels
(Unregulated Case) |
77 |
|
5 |
Recommended Incentive for Biomass Utility/Fuels
(Unregulated Case) |
78 |
| D |
Evaluation of Labor-Management Committee
Recommendations |
79 |
| E |
Estimated Federal Cost and Liability of
the Program |
85 |
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1 |
Cost to Government |
87 |
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2 |
Government Loan Liability |
91 |
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3 |
Evaluation of the Effects of Inflation |
95 |
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4 |
Program Budget |
98 |
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Chapter VIII Recommended Program (357kb) |
109 |
| A |
Introduction |
109 |
| B |
Program Guidelines |
109 |
| C |
Environmental Protection Strategy |
112 |
| D |
Limited Impact Assistance |
117 |
| |
|
Chapter IX Organizational Options for
Management of the Synthetic Fuels Program (437kb) |
118 |
| A |
Introduction |
118 |
| B |
Criteria for Selection |
118 |
| C |
Evaluation of Factors Affecting Federal
Organization |
119 |
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1 |
Size of Recommended Program |
119 |
|
2 |
Respective Roles - Government vs. Private Sector |
120 |
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3 |
Required Capabilities of the Federal Organization |
122 |
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4 |
Basic Types of Federal Organizations |
122 |
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Chapter X Legislative Requirements (279kb) |
128 |
| A |
Summary |
128 |
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1 |
350,000 bbl/day Commercial Demonstration Option |
129 |
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2 |
1,000,000 bbl/day Option |
130 |
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3 |
1,700,000 bbl/day Option |
132 |
| B |
Federal regulatory Requirements |
133 |
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Appendix A -
Organization of Synthetic Fuels Task Force (243kb) |
A-1 |
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Appendix B - Model Draft Notice
(638kb) |
B-1 |
|
Appendix C - Overview of Federal
Statutes (1.88MB) |
C-1 |
