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Impacts of Synthetic Liquid Fuel Development Volume I- 1976

Dickson, Edward M.
Steele, Robert V.
Hughes, Evan E.
Walton, Barry L.
Zink, R. Allen
Miller, Peter D.
Ryan, John W.
Simmon, Patricia B.
Holt, Buford
White, Ronald K.
Harvey, Ernest C.
Cooper, Ronald
Phillips, David F. (Consultant)
Stoneman,Ward C. (Consultant)

Stanford Research Institute

Cover Page

Table of Contents

Section 1
404kb		 Foreward iii
Executive Summary v
Guide to the Reader xxi
List of Illustrations xxiv
List of Tables xxvi
Section 2
521kb		 I Introduction 1
 

A

 Nature of the Problem 1
 

1

 Automotive Fuel in Perspective 1

2

 Future Automotive Fuel Options 4

B

 Study Objectives 5

C

 Study Methods 5

D

 Organization of the Report 6
II All-Out Conventional Production of Domestic Oil Supplemented by Oil Imports:  Reference Case 8
 

A

 Sources of Domestic Supply 8

B

 Resource Requirements 9

C

 Major Impacts of the Reference Case 12
III Production of Synthetic Liquid Fuels From Coal and Oil Shale 14
 

A

 The Technology 14
 

1

 Syncrude from Coal 14

2

 Methanol from Coal 15

3

 Syncrude from Oil Shale 18

B

 Net Energy Ratio 19

C

 Economics of Production 22

D

 Institutional Setting for a Synfuel Industry 23

E

 Working Premises for a Hypothesized Implementation of a Synfuel Industry 25
IV Criteria for Comparing Synthetic Fuel Production Options 26
 

A

 Purpose of Applying Criteria 26

B

 List of Criteria 26

C

 Application of Criteria 27
Section 3
645kb		 V Maximum Credible Synthetic Fuels Implementation Scenario 31
 

A

 Purpose and Assumptions 31

B

 The Scenario 32
VI Implications of the Maximum Credible Implementation (MCI) Scenario 37
 

A

 Impact Issues 37
 

1

 Industrial Decision Making 37

2

 Capital Availability 41

3

 Resource Depletion 44

4

 Water Availability 45

5

 Economic Spin-Off Effects 53

6

 Environmental Effects 55
Section 4
535kb

7

 Social Consequences 63

B

 Summary of Factors Critical to MCI Deployment 71
VIII Public Policy Considerations Raised by the Impact Issues 82
 

A

 Financial Aspects of a Synfuel Industry 82

B

 Water Rights 84

C

 Strip Mine Reclamation and Resource Leasing 86

D

 Air Quality Control 86

E.

 Population Growth Control 88

F

 Summary 88