Section
1
979kb |
1.0 |
Summary
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1 |
2.0 |
Introduction
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11 |
|
2.1 |
Objective
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11 |
2.2 |
JPL Energy Scenario
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11 |
2.3 |
Basic Assumptions
|
12 |
3.0 |
Task I Economic Assessment
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14 |
|
3.1 |
Future Chemical Industry H2/CO/Syngas
Capacity Requirements 1978-1987
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14 |
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3.1.1 |
Major Requirements Plants
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18 |
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3.1.1.1 |
Ammonia
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18 |
3.1.1.2 |
Methanol
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19 |
3.1.1.3 |
Benzene
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22 |
3.1.1.4 |
Ethanol
|
25 |
Section
2
646kb |
3.1.2 |
Oxo Alcohols
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27 |
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3.1.2.1 |
Solvent Alcohols
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27 |
3.1.2.2 |
Plasticizer Alcohols
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28 |
3.1.2.3 |
Detergent Alcohols
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28 |
3.1.3 |
Polyurethanes and Aniline
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34 |
|
3.1.3.1 |
MDI
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34 |
3.1.3.2 |
TDI
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35 |
3.1.3.3 |
Aniline
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38 |
3.1.3.4 |
Supply/Demand Balances and H2/CO
Requirements
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39 |
3.1.4 |
Fibers
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41 |
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3.1.4.1 |
General Overview of U.S. Fibers Markets
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41 |
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3.1.4.1.1 U.S. Fiber Consumption
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43 |
3.1.4.1.2 Summary of Statistical Data
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46 |
3.1.4.2 |
Ethylene Glycol
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47 |
Section
3
682kb |
3.1.4.3 |
DMT/TPA
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51 |
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3.1.4.3.1 Markets
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51 |
3.1.4.3.2 Polyethylene Terephthalate (PET) Film
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51 |
3.1.4.3.3 Polybutylene Terephthalate (PBT) Resins
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52 |
3.1.4.3.4 Polyethylene Terephthalate (PET) Barrier Resins
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52 |
3.1.4.3.5 Supply/Demand Balances
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53 |
3.1.4.4 |
Acetic Anhydride
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55 |
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3.1.4.4.1 Markets and Supply/Demand Balance
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55 |
3.1.4.5 |
Hexamethylenediamine, Adipic Acid and Cyclohexane
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55 |
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3.1.4.5.1 HMDA
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55 |
3.1.4.5.2 Adipic Acid/Caprolactam
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57 |
3.1.5 |
Other Chemicals
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59 |
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3.1.5.1 |
Acetic Acid
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59 |
3.1.5.2 |
Pesticides
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61 |
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3.1.5.2.1 Insecticides
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61 |
3.1.5.2.2 Herbicides
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61 |
3.1.5.2.3 Fungicides and Fumigants
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64 |
3.1.5.2.4 Projected CO Requirements
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64 |
3.1.5.3 |
Polycarbonates
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64 |
3.1.5.4 |
Hydrogen Peroxide
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67 |
3.1.5.5 |
Butanediol
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69 |
3.1.5.6 |
Specialty Chemicals
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69 |
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3.1.5.6.1 Specific Chemicals
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71 |
3.1.5.6.2 H2/CO Requirements
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74 |
3.1.6 |
Electrolytic Hydrogen Potential
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74 |
Section
4
801kb |
3.2 |
Future Chemical Industry H2/CO/Syngas
Capacity Requirements, 1988-2000
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75 |
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3.2.1 |
Major Requirements Plants
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77 |
3.2.2 |
Oxo Alcohols
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78 |
3.2.3 |
Polyurethanes
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78 |
3.2.4 |
Fibers
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78 |
3.2.5 |
Other Chemicals
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79 |
3.3 |
Economic Comparison of H2 and Syngas
Production Costs using Coal Gasification Technology vs. Existing Production
Methods
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80 |
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3.3.1 |
Methodology
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81 |
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3.3.1.1 |
Capital Cost Estimates
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81 |
3.3.1.2 |
Major Operating Cost Estimates
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84 |
3.3.2 |
Discussion of Results
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85 |
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3.3.2.1 |
Results for H2 and Syngas Production
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86 |
3.3.2.2 |
Pressurized vs. Atmospheric Gasification
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97 |
3.3.2.3 |
Evaluation of Co-Producing Fuel and Syngas
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97 |
3.3.3 |
Discussion of Revised Energy Scenario Sensitivity
Cases
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97 |
Section
5
668kb |
|
3.3.3.1 |
Results for H2 and Syngas Production
Using Revised Energy Scenario
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102 |
3.3.3.2 |
Revised Scenario Results for Pressurized vs.
Atmospheric Gasification
|
113 |
3.3.3.3 |
Revised Scenario Results for Co-Producing Fuel and
Syngas
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113 |
4.0 |
Task II Analysis of Technical/Non-Technical Problem
Areas
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116 |
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4.1 |
Analysis of Potential R&D Impact
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116 |
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4.1.1 |
Analysis of Potential R&D Impact Under Original
Energy Scenario
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116 |
4.1.2 |
Analysis of Potential R&D Impact Under Revised
Energy Scenario
|
121 |
Section
6
912kb |
4.2 |
Analysis of Institutional Barriers
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126 |
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4.2.1 |
Financing Considerations
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126 |
4.2.2 |
Technology and Cost Risk Factors In Coal
Gasification
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127 |
4.2.3 |
Financing Techniques
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128 |
4.3 |
Analysis of Regulatory Barriers Affecting Coal
Gasification
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133 |
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4.3.1 |
Impact of State Implementation Plan Delays on
Commercial Potential
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133 |
4.3.2 |
Regulatory Barriers Affecting Coal Directly:
Transporting/Mining
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134 |
4.3.3 |
Impact of Future Oil and Gas Regulatory Pricing
Uncertainty
|
136 |
4.4 |
Estimate of Government Incentives to Make Coal
Gasification Competitive and Recommended Actions to Stimulate Coal Gasification
System Development
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138 |
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4.4.1 |
Financial Incentives
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138 |
4.4.2 |
Recommended Options to Stimulate Coal Gasification
System Development
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141 |
4.4.3 |
Regulatory Actions
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143 |
Appendix A: Description of Financial Analysis Computer Program
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